Tag Archives: election

Akwa Ibom isongo, iden isongo, iban ino uyo…o! #MargaretItaumaForAKISANPresident

8 Aug

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Akwa Ibom isongo, iden isongo, iban ino uyo…o!
#MargaretItaumaForAKISANPresident
My name is Margaret Itauma, I’m representing Akwa Ibom State Association of Nigeria, USA Inc. (AKISAN) Houston chapter in its forthcoming National Presidential election this Friday August the 10th, 2018 in Phoenix, Arizona.
AKISAN is a 501(c)(3) non-profit organization formed in the United States of America to promote the interests of the citizens of Akwa Ibom State of Nigeria both in the homeland and the diaspora.
Born and raised in Akwa Ibom State of Nigeria, I relocated to the United States of America about 27 years ago. I hold a Bachelor’s of Science degree in Nursing. I’ve practiced as a Registered Nurse for the past 30 years. Currently employed by St Luke’s Hospital in its Cardiovascular Intensive Care Unit, I’ve worked there for about 13 years.
Albert Scheitzer said, “The purpose of human life is to serve, to show compassion and the will to help others. I am committed and always passionate to serve. I have been an active member of AKISAN since 2000, a servant leader; serving in various committees, building coalition for my community within the city of Houston and beyond.
Why am I running for this office? I want to bring back value and financial stability to AKISAN.
The problem of AKISAN borders on accountability and its inability to source for independent funding.
My plan is to restructure, refocus and reinvigorate AKISAN to provide its role as a non-profit organization to serve and to meet its goal of raising funds to support the underprivileged, both in the USA and homeland.
UNITY AND CONTINUITY
• If elected as the President of this great organization; will run an inclusive administration that will unite, strengthen and sustain AKISAN.
• Will create a Strategic Committee that will be empowered to work in collaboration with the Board of Trustees and council to follow through with projects not completed during my tenue.
• Will establish a Multiyear Strategic plan to guide our programs and operations.
Some of the Projects and Services my administration will embark on:
Medical Mission:
I’ve volunteered my time to serve on two Medical Missions in Akwa Ibom State (AKS), 2016 and 2018 respectively; I saw the desperation on the faces of our people. Medical Mission is a much needed initiative in our homeland. If elected as President, I pledge to lead a Medical Mission to AKS to alleviate some of the medical sufferings of our people. Will partner with other corporations to reduce the cost on AKISAN.
Create Affordable Convention for Families:
Will reduce registration fees for members, this will encourage more members to attend convention and at the same time, bring more revenue to AKISAN.
Corporate Funding:
Over 50 billion is awarded each year through foundations and grants. AKISAN will take advantage of this opportunity, meet the requirement of community outreach, have it posted on its website and also show one year of audited account.
Youth Empowerment Programs:
The voice of our youths should be raised and heightened; will support youth functional cabinet to ease transition into leadership, will promote their interests and give them active role to play at the convention
Constitution Amendment:
In order to maintain the election integrity of this organization, will propose constitution amendment for 1 chapter 1 vote.
In conclusion, AKISAN has three candidates running for the office of the Presidency, we are all qualified however; AKISAN needs a candidate that cares and connects with its community, a candidate that will listen, engage all and integrate their ideas in the planning and building of this great organization, I am that candidate.
Come Friday August 10, 2018, I humbly ask for your vote.
See you in Phoenix!
Margaret Itauma,
Houston Candidate
Website: margaretitauma.com

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NIGERIAN REPRESENTATIVE DEMOCRACY UNDER ASSAULT WITH BUHARI:

30 Jul
By Dr. Inyang Oduok
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Where are you going, Lord? Simon Peter Asked Jesus. “You cannot follow me now where I am going” Jesus answered Simon Peter, but later you will follow me.
 
Jesus knew he was on the way to the cross and advised Simon Peter against following him at the peril of his life. He knew Simon Peter could not endure the sufferings he was just about to go through on the cross.
 
The just-concluded Ekiti governorship race provokes similar question that Simon Peter asked Jesus, where is our nation heading to?
 
The result of the EKITI governorship race where APC is said to have defeated P.D.P. incumbent governor of the state, whose performances in office and personal attributes have never been questioned nor in doubt, provides disturbing and bleak answers as to what direction the Buhari Presidency is taking the country.
 
The incumbent governor is reported to have lost the election amidst widespread rigging, ballot stuffing, violence, murders, abuses and misuse of national law enforcement powers by Buhari administration.
 
Information reaching us is that it was like Buhari’s APC was marching to war and conquests. He dispatched in excess of 400, 000.00 armed officers to EKITI state during the governorship race. This cast a heavy shadow over the head of state’s intent in states such as Rivers, Bayelsa and Akwa Ibom states in the coming 2019 Presidential, Governorship, Senate, and House races.
 
Lawless acts taken in violation of free and fair election Act is void and so is the election result- the direct product of such unlawful acts. That Buhari administration has declared the election free and fair is of no consequence.
 
We saw it coming people. The concept of a representative democracy in Nigeria is over with a dictator as the head of state.
 
Ekiti governorship race is a harbinger of what lies ahead for the country. Our future is uncertain in the hands of a tyrant.
 
Buhari is on the move to undermine every institution that gives our representative democracy its true meaning.
 
We venture to predict that should the trend continue to 2019 Presidential and Governorship races, we will inevitably find the nation consumed in another bloody civil war.
 
Dr. Inyang Oduok
 
Atlanta, Georgia.
 

Fayemi insults Adeyeye over diversion of money meant for buying votes

23 Jul

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A mild drama ensued on Thursday, 12th of July, 2018 at the Isan country home of the APC gubernatorial candidate, Dr. Kayode Fayemi.

Premium Reporters learned that Prince Dayo Adeyeye arrived the residence of Dr. Kayode Fayemi on the latter’s invitation at about 1:13pm.

Our source said that Prince Adeyeye was ushered into the compound by security operatives and he proceeded to the living room of Dr. Kayode Fayemi.

“About 10 minutes after his arrival, there was a sort of kerfuffle as we started hearing the two men raising voice at each other and Dr. Kayode Fayemi saying: “What is your mission? Do you want me to lose this election?

I paid you ₦200M to decamp to the APC. How can you be so rapacious to the extent of diverting the ₦150M I gave you to distribute to all the defectors from the PDP; to woo PDP members votes at their polling units? You are becoming quite avaricious for my taste,” the source said.

Premium Reporters authoritatively learned that Dr. Fayemi was enveloped with fury after some PDP defectors visited him earlier in the morning to lodge a complaint about the covetous act of the former governorship aspirant of the PDP.

Prince Adeyeye who was quite visibly angry was seen leaving the living room of Dr. Kayode Fayemi at 1:56pm and shut the door with a loud bang.

THE VERDICT: APC JUST LOST THE EKITI GOVERNORSHIP ELECTION

12 Jul

 

Politics is a game for the wise and the foolish, but who eventually wins is the one with the smarts. For months now, the intrigues of parties participating in the Ekiti gubernatorial election have dominated the nation’s news cycle. It’s normal because the election is happening at a time no other election is scheduled. It’s come down to Governor Ayodele Fayose putting forward his deputy, Professor Kolapo Olusola for the position and strongly standing by him, while the APC and the federal forces have lined up behind Kayode Fayemi, a former governor, who lost all 16 Local Governments of the state to Fayose in 2014. In the intervening period, Fayose has been a torn in the flesh of the federal forces and a sort of battering ram for the PDP that lost the presidency.
Up to this point, the race has been too close to call. Fayemi has attempted to present himself as a new man. When he picked up his party’s ticket, he apologized to the Ekiti people for his mistakes in the past because he was seen as aloof and arrogant, something unforgivable in politics. Yet, in his march towards taking the ticket, he exhibited all the characteristics of a bully, all the arrogance and pomposity of someone who thinks stolen money and federal power will win it for him. He used these blatantly at the party primary and now, at the real election level, they’ve wheeled in all the instruments of violence, force and coercion into Ekiti. However, possibly unknown to them is the fact that the militarization of the state before the election is a signal that Fayemi’s party is desperate. Fayose has taken to playing the politics of the underdog punching above his weight and despite his many faults, he’s kept a tight ship and a consistent message, which is that the federal forces are presenting Fayemi as the Trojan Horse to conquer Ekiti state.
Then, Buhari and the APC bigwigs came calling. And now what have we got? The federal forces trying to humiliate a sitting governor by using force against him! He wants to do a rally and the police are saying they would have none of it. There is no law stopping the PDP from doing any rally today when the election is still Saturday, but they would not allow him. They barricaded Fayose and his supporters inside Ekiti Government House. Whether on the street or inside Government House, teargas was used. The earlier pictures on social media are showing Fayose sitting on the ground suffering effect of tear gas, surrounded by some seemingly frantic others. Some of his opponents are all guffawing at what they consider to be some amateurish drama. How is it that only Fayose amongst those standing with him and captured on camera is suffering this dramatic effect of tear gas? How is it he’s the only one being reported to have been taken to hospital?Image result for ekiti election
Okay, I have made inquiries with people on the ground in Ekiti and they are all saying it really happened and that Fayose was not the only one affected by the tear gas, but that he was the one people not affected ran to when it happened and all that. Some sent me other pictures of people they said were affected and all. But in all honesty, I was not about to determine the validity of all these since they were all still shots and not videos, but now videos are circulating showing it’s worse than we thought. At any rate, whatever anyone thinks, the only unquestioned part of the whole story, even from known APC supporters I spoke to is that there was in fact teargasing. Indeed, the case of the APC supporters who claim to be on the ground is that it was not such a heavy teargasing that could have affected Fayose the way he’s making out. Amidst guffaws, one of the fellows told me Fayose was rehearsing for his post-governorship career in Nollywood.
But, they miss the point. Whether Fayose is acting up or not is not the issue. The issue is that the federal forces ostensibly put on the ground to ensure a secure, free and fair election have showed their hands and it is not a good show. There was no reason to barricade the Government House; there was no reason to be lured into a Fayose trap, if indeed it was a trap. There was no reason to dispense teargas anywhere around there or near anywhere the governor was! It’s never happened in the history of our country! Whenever high-handedness had been applied against a governor who disagrees with Abuja, they’ve used the mechanism of the law, even when totally mangled to effect their aim; it’s never come to physical force against the governor or around him. A governor is not a slave of the president or federal forces. He is the executive head of a federating unit of the federation with all powers therein. There is a reason the Constitution grants the governor immunity; he’s protected by our laws against anything like this. This should not happen to him or around him, especially when perpetrators can be proved to be persons or security officials acting at the behest of Abuja.
Now, does anyone at the federal level fighting this Ekiti election on behalf of Fayemi think this will win them any vote? Do they think any genuine Ekiti person seeing their governor and their state humiliated like this would be clapping and hailing them for a job well done? Well, except for those who’ve taken partisanship beyond common sense, I do not see many supporting them. They have just lost this election because no matter how they frame this, it is out there that the Buhari presidency is treating Ekiti like a conquered territory and as far as people still have their PVCs, they will fight back. Why, because the national political atmosphere does not favour the APC amidst the hardship and all the killings going on in the nation under their watch and with the president unable to hide his bias for the killers. Whatever anyone thinks of Fayose, majority of the Ekiti people see him as their protector against the rampaging herdsmen via his anti-open grazing law and his proactive actions against elements who want to flout it. The last thing you would expect is for people accused of being thieves to be found with the blood of the stolen meat dripping from their mouths. APC just nailed it’s own coffin. What we see here is enough to send them back to the wilderness in Ekiti. And no, it may not be because they ordered it or want it; it would be because they allowed themselves to come out on the wrong side of the optics.
Image result for ekiti election
Yes, optics matter in politics and they’ve just given Fayose the opportunity to not only create it, but to also define the immediate post-election narrative on his terms, while putting the APC off their game. That’s a huge unforced error, a terrible giveaway by APC! For instance, whether in support or against, this would be the talk in Ekiti before the election. Not every voter is on social media or savvy enough to look at things beyond what they are told. Most would buy the more dramatic versions and spread them far and near. What most rural voters would be hearing is that Buhari attempted to kill their governor when he sent in his goons to attack him and bomb him at Government House. They will hear that their governor escaped an assassination attempt and is now in hospital. Meanwhile, I’m hearing there are processions going to the Ewi of Ado-Ekiti palace to protest this. In the midst of this drama, the APC message will never be heard. They will not add one single vote to their tally, but the PDP might be winning the sympathy vote and some via the propagandization of this matter. In a close election, these little margins matter.
In my view, the APC has scored an own goal and the referee is waiting to blow the final whistle after this tight game where no one had seemed capable of making any headway. For Ekiti people, this is no longer about Fayemi; it’s about sending a message to Buhari and his goons that they are not a conquered people. No matter the machinations of the APC, including any attempt at rigging, this is already a lost cause. I, Kennedy Emetulu, a Nigerian, have called the election for the governorship of Ekiti State for the PDP candidate, Professor Kolapo Olusola. You heard it here first. Thank me later.
NB: There’s a caveat. There are things I know APC can do right now to turn this around or limit the damage significantly, but, unfortunately for them, I do not support the APC in this election, even though I’m not exactly a PDP supporter as well. So, no, I wont give the suggestion here for free. They should go and think and try to save their hide (I’m guessing anything they think up on their own will be tantamount to them digging themselves deeper). As things are, this election has been won and lost already.

SEE FROM WHERE WE GOT TO HERE. JONATHAN MUST BE CELEBRATING NOW. READ….. YES, YOU. YOU MUST READ BY FORCE.

6 Jul
APC Things fall Apart
“(As received – check the facts yourselves)
 
*In case you guys have forgotten…*
 
*Around this time in 2014!!!*
 
• Fr. Ejike Mbaka (Olorun nikan lo mo nkan to nbaa ka) of Catholic Diocese of Enugu has started seeing a vision of how Buhari is the Messiah we have been waiting for and the best President Nigeria will ever have, while Goodluck Jonathan was a bad luck for Nigeria. But today Catholic Priests and faithful are massacred and slaughtered in large numbers under Buhari. Mbaka is yet to see another vision.
 
• Tinubu said Buhari was the best Person to lead Nigeria but today for the first time in decades Tinubu’s party in Lagos has parallel Primaries thanks to Buhari’s leadership.
 
• Around this time in 2015, TY Danjuma told us Buhari was a good leader… Today Danjuma’s people are under siege and he says the army under Buhari is giving cover to those who are slaughtering Danjuma’s people in the Middle Belt.
 
• Around this time in 2014, Pastor Tunde Bakare told us we can expect a better Nigeria under Buhari. Today Pastor Bakare is advising Nigerians to look for a better leader who will restructure and save Nigeria from Buhari’s cabal.
 
• Around this time in 2014, Prof Tam David-West promised Nigerians that Buhari will make petrol #45 per liter, today Petrol is #145 per liter and Buhari has spent #1.4trillion on fuel subsidy which he claimed was a fraud. Prof. Tan David West has gone deaf and dumb.
 
• Around this time in 2014, Sai Buharists swore that Buhari will declare his assets publicly and produce his WAEC certificate… Till date, he has neither shown us his WAEC certificate or declared his real assets.
 
• About this time in 2014 Fashola said a serious Govt will fix power problem in Nigeria within 6 months. Three years after they have taken power, they have not added one megawatt to the grid. Fashola is now minister of darkness under Buhari.
 
• About this time in 2014, Buhari said naira will be #1 to $1 yet he has messed it up from #187 in 2015 to $1 to #365 to $1 in 2018.
 
• About this time in 2014, my Uncle Ofia was busy campaigning for Buhari. He told me that Buhari will make Nigeria’s economy better than that of Dubai. Today, my Uncle’s company has folded because of Buhari’s bad economic policies and administrative cluelessness.
 
• About this time in 2014, Buhari promised that insecurity especially Boko Haram insurgency will end in 3 months. But in 3 years he has added the Fulani herdsmen terrorism and militia which is by far more dreaded and deadly than Boko Haram and human lives in Nigeria have become meaningless and valueless under Buhari’s watch.
 
• In 2014/2015 OBJ was campaigning for Buhari because for him then it was anything but Jonathan. Today Obasanjo has seen what a grave judgment he passed and what afflictions he wrecked on the nation.
 
Get your PVC or a gun now!!!
 
 
-Prince Olusegun Oni

NOW THAT SCAM-ARTIST ATA IKIDDEH HAS JOINED NDDC MEDIA TEAM…

5 Jul

 

Ata Ikiddeh 2

“Why are you dissipating too much energy on Ata Ikiddeh, he has never been a serious person. He was my classmate at the defunct School of Arts and Science, Uyo. While in at UNICAL too, he was course mate of former Governor Godswill Akpabio. He used to dance breakdance at UNICAL. It was on this strength that he won an award then called Mr. UNICAL.”

That was a message, crispy and clear from a concerned Akwa Ibom son who felt Ata Ikiddeh’s noise was not worth the attention. But then anyone who ignores Ata, does so at his own peril. This is moreso when so many amiable indigenes of the state, like former screen delight,Regina AskiaWilliams who reside outside the country, are yielding towards the emotions raised by his ilk. I remember the build up to the 2011 elections, the same desperation and blackmail were employed by the same guy and the next thing was his strong persistent clamour to take over the media team of the then Governor, His Excellency Godswill Akpabio. It got to a point that Mr Ikiddeh would sent message after another to the Governor on how the Commissioner for Information Aniekan Umanah failed to properly inform the people, and how he waded in to redeem the image of the governor on the social and global media. His pestering was uncontrollable and anyone could just imagine the volume of pressure he mounted on the former Governor, who characteristically refused to succumb to blackmail. Most of the text messages undermining the Aniekan Umanah-led information team were usually forwarded to the subject of the blackmail.Ata Ikiddeh scam artist

For close to two years, between 2009 to 2011, Mr. Ikiddeh was usually seen with a small camcorder, recording projects and posting them on his social media platforms. Perhaps it is instructive to note that in 2009, Ata first came to Uyo with a group of about six diasporans on a fact finding tour, and despite being shown round the entire projects locations in one week, he saw it as a Vista for endless all expense paid trips. Most times even when he got the clips from the information team, he won’t hesitate to forward a message to the former Governor as his personal efforts at salvaging the battered image of the governor. Almost a month would not pass without Ikiddeh arriving the state with his small camera, and the usual text messages to get support. That is the story of a tall bespectacled dude at the tarmac of the newly commissioned airport, with his brown Elizabethan checkered blazers. Although unsolicited, the State government made it a point of duty to always find him handouts. Of course I was the Special Assistant to the Commissioner and had a fair knowledge of most of Ata’s activities. On one occasion, he wrote a passionate letter about his rent expiring in his London apartment, and his children being unable to attend school.

It is obviously not a surprise that he found his way to the doorstep of very humble and listening Speaker of the House of Assembly, Rd.Hon. Barr. Onofiok Luke. It takes a broad mind to imagine the pestering and harassment he may have meted on the peaceable number one state lawmaker. This aspect of Ata dates back to 2010 during the ‘Child Witch Saga’ that compelled the state government to intervene and rescue the children from the CRARN home in Eket. It was a very emotional moment, seeing the terrible condition of young children suffering from the ignorance of their parents. My involvement in the evacuation enabled Ata to have access to the process. He said he would like to join and we brought him along. When I received a call from the then Commissioner for Women Affairs and Social Welfare Mrs. Eunice Thomas, the following morning, I was shocked to hear that the same Ata in his usual nature had forwarded a text to the Governor on how he narrowly escaped dead while trying to rescue the children from their ‘captors’. He had painted a picture of a war scenario where he was the Rambo that helped wade of the savages that came out with machetes. The commissioner was upset with me, she said it was unfair for the Ata Ikiddeh to go a-lying to the governor. In the true sense of it, there was never a resistance from the center when the government team arrived and it took three trips to evacuate the inmates to the Divine Children’s home, built initially as the security village in Uyo.

Like I had said somewhere else previously, Ata is a lawyer by training, and his mates in the Nigeria Law School include the likes of Senator Godswill Akpabio, Senator Liyel Imoke, Minister of Power, Works and Housing, Babatunde Fashola, former Secretary to the Government of the Federation, Anyim Anyim, Senator Grace Bent, former Deputy Speaker, House of Representatives, Hon. Chibudum Nwuche, among other notable Nigerians. He had no history of involvement in media services in any known media establishment or department, neither could he prove he had consulted for any reputable agency or government. These were obviously addendums to his penchant for blackmail, which probably accounted for his appointment as one of the numerous Special Assistants on Projects Monitoring, to the then governor in 2011, as against his crave for the soul of the information machinery. If ever someone exists who would have entrusted Ata Ikiddeh with the job of managing his image, it ought to have been His Excellency Godswill Akpabio. But he got a job of project inspection for all his troubles. It was like, let us find Ata something to do, and save ourselves the troubles of his harassments.

I remember the day I called Ata when he started rolling these spiteful messages on the social media against the Governor, I was in my office and when he received my call, I explained to him that it was not fair for him, a beneficiary of the system to attempt pulling the ladder down. He started explaining to me that he has done his best to get the Commissioner to involve him and that he even got recommendation from the Speaker of the State House of Assembly. After submitting his proposal, the commissioner has failed to send for him, and has not also been picking his calls. It was an absurd thing to hear, that someone could tell me he has resorted to media attacks on the governor because his proposal didn’t meet favourable consideration.

Most people have gone on the social media space, urging the state government to respond to the calculated jaundiced smear campaigns by Ata Ikiddeh and brothers. Like I said, genuine and reasonable people usually ask questions before to conclusions except where there is a malicious intent, like in this case.
Everyone who cares to know, has seen through the various communication media that the Governor of Akwa Ibom state His Excellency Mr Udom Emmanuel has clearly made a bold expression on the health sector of the state. Governor Emmanuel clearly stated that the medical equipment being brought into Akwa Ibom are bought first hand from the manufacturers in the United States of America, and are being shipped in 100 containers to Nigeria. The administration, he echoed resisted the temptation of purchasing equipment from several third world countries to be guaranteed of their quality and durability. So far more than 25 of those containers have been received and deployed for use. The hospitals in Etinan and Ikono have been well equipped and furnished and were commissioned recently by the Vice President Yemi Osibanjo and the Governor respectively. These much information are in the public domain, produced and circulated by Commissioner Charles Udoh. Ata has access to these. Because his interest is in his personal gains than these information, he overlooks them and goes for the jugular of the Commissioner for refusing him his outrageous media consultancy.

Other hospitals like Oron, Okobo, Eket, Oruk Anam, Uruan among others are undergoing renovations and re-equipping. If Ata and his cohorts were sincere, instead of writing and publishing on rag tag sheets, they would review government projects and come down to inspect and access before going to attack the commissioner for information and the media team. I remember the day I personally called him to advise against towing the path of self-destruction, he took it in bad faith, went on the media alleging blackmail.
In summary, it is well to note that Ata disturbed the Speaker of the House of Assembly and out of compassion, the speaker opted to introduce Ata to Charles Udoh. Note, Barr Luke possibly paid his transport fares and lodged him in a hotel, and for Ata, this means that his proposal ought to be accepted at all cost. If Ata Ikiddeh wanted information on the achievements of government, he got it, more than enough. Others get it when they seek. Currently, the state government runs a whole lot of media programmes on the achievements of the governor. Discover Akwa Ibom, Update Akwa Ibom and Akwa Ibom Rising are documentaries that run both on local electronic media and cable TV. There is a feedback mechanism for citizens to access the government spokesman on SMS,whatsapp messages, social media platforms and even the state website. Today, we have a man who benefitted consistently from government for over six years, coming out with a threatening proposal including a clause for hotel bills, flight tickets and other expenses. Didn’t he owned a house in Uyo while working for the state government a year earlier? That is story for another day.

By his own admission, Mr Ata Ikiddeh has joined the media team of Mr. Nsima Ekere, the Managing Director of Niger Delta Development Commission, who is neck deep in the 2019 governorship race against the incumbent governor. He said Charles Udoh refused to give him attention, Mr Ekere picked his call and accepted his offer. Ata has repeatedly expressed his prowess as a media expert, without whom nothing can work in a media team. Methinks he would have set out for work immediately to gain acceptance from the already existent team members of the Nsima Ekere crew who may see him as a gold digger. Don’t get me wrong, no one is against his being accommodated in Mr Nsima Ekere’s media team, but he should promote Ekere and NDDC and stop knocking Governor Emmanuel and his media team. He is expected to bring that media ingenuity and show the world those achievements of NDDC in Akwa Ibom that every other media hireling has unfortunately failed to showcase in the past three years. He should exhibit his media skills at his new duty post and stop crying over the job he couldn’t get at the Hilltop mansion.

(c) Essien Ndueso

APC : THE PARABLE OF DEFECTION AND SURVIVAL

5 Jul

APC THE PARABLE OF DEFECTION AND SURVIVAL

Prophecy fulfiled : Attention Otuekong Franklyn Isong

By Osondu Ahirika

The Ibibios have an adage that says, ewa ase kene owo akpon idip, koro mi toro’ke toro, aya kok. Translated, it means, a dog following a man with bulging stomach is full of expectation, for he will either stool or vomit for the dog to lap up. That describes the paradox of defection from one party to another in Nigeria.

A few years back, the PDP enjoyed the boom of defections when the going was good. In the current trend, she suffers a reversal of that fate.
I read a piece, titled, ‘Before PDP Dies in Akwa Ibom’, written by my brother and friend, Franklyn Isong and I had a good laugh. I laughed, because, the adage above instructs me more on what is really going on.
I credit the spur to write this piece to Franklyn Isong. In no distant time, I want his thesis to be pitted against my antithesis, and let tomorrow judge who is right.

Before proceeding, let me share, as I am always wont to do, a short but true story.
In a certain hamlet where families lived in clusters with almost everyone knowing each other, there lived a couple who were of great service to all.

The couple ran a private clinic which was the only medical facility in the area, to which, every ailing resident went for treatment and cure.
The husband of the doctor, let’s call her Johny, was a classic irony to behold. She was skinny, sickly, without appetite and so gaunt looking.
Worst still, she was so lean that, her scrawny, skeletal frame gave her away, in the judgment of all, as a woman who will die, perhaps, the next second, a minute later or the coming hour.

On the flipside, her hubby was a juxtaposing contrast to her famished frame. He was full of life, vigorous in speech, burly and well endowed, even as his shapely figure resonated such machoist energy that disguised his age.
He was a dutiful and loving husband, and served with his wife as the auxiliary caregiver in the clinic.

Whenever his wife was off to the General Hospital in town, or out for any reason, he was responsible to hang a notice on the main entry door to the clinic, which read: DOCTOR, GONE OUT, BACK SOON. Any patient who approached the clinic and saw the sign understood the meaning, without further inquiry. They usually go back to return later when the notice is off.

That is however, not the issue. Soon, the Doctor who was saving lives got very sick. Her husband worked round the clock to support and assist her. He was her hands, legs and all. She was so weak, the whole city mourned and were only counting days she lived on as a bonus of grace. But, as sometimes happens, the husband who was full of vibes and blossom slumped and died.

On that eventful day, the clinic was not open and the ubiquitous signpost on the door wasn’t there either.
Some curious clients made it to the residence and met a dejected and broken Dr Jenny staring into space.
Without waiting to be asked what was amiss, she said to the stunned visitors with all the power she could exert, ”He is Gone, He wont be back Soon!”

Folks’, that story is my approximation of the fate of PDP and the rival APC.
The APC in this case is the husband and the PDP, Dr Johny. Like our elders once said, you may be expecting the dry leaf to fall only for the green leaf to do so.
I am of the conviction that, going forward, the All Progressives Congress may wither and wilt, while the seemingly dying Peoples Democratic Party, like the proverbial phoenix, may reinvent herself.

I am not persuaded by the one-way traffic of defections to the APC, to believe, or conclude, the party is healthy and thriving. Like speed, obesity kills. And believe me if you will, the APC is more than obese.

Let me attempt a forecast of tomorrow for I see the writing on the wall. Senator Ahmed Bola Tinubu, the National Leader of the APC is still nursing deep seated wounds that have been remorselessly inflicted on him, by disparate and contending forces that were annexed into the APC at formation. He will reassert himself come 2019. Already, he has hinted that, he will run for the Presidency if the conditions are right.

As I can see, President Muhammadu Buhari who was the binding figure that stitched the party together is out of the picture. In a few months, the mother of all battles for the soul of the APC will blow open. When this happens, we will see who stays and what happens with the APC.
Don’t forget, nobody can rein in the ambition of former Vice President Atiku Abubakar to become President of Nigeria. Others like former Kano governor Musa Kwakwanso, current Kaduna governor, Nasiru El’Rufai, Sokoto governor, Aminu Tambuwal, Senate President Bukola Saraki and the far Northern flank of the APC will spoil for a showdown if the Afenifere South West bloc of the party dare to put forward a candidate come 2019.
Even the South Eastern caucus of the APC have begun to find their voice to be given a chance in the party. The battle for the parties ticket will be messy and implosive. You can bank on that, believe me. The casualties will lead a major revolt of realignment of forces and APC will disperse from the centre.
Once this happens, new parties will break out of its womb.

Is that good news for the PDP? I don’t think so. The PDP on the other hand must reinvent her narrative and show a new identity. There will be an exodus from the APC and PDP as presently constituted, which will morph into a third force. Then, the three parties will go head-to-head. That is what I see tomorrow. Where that leads, I can’t tell.

Howbeit, the defections from party A to party B is healthy for our democracy.
I had a long discourse with former Commissioner Pastor Ita Udo on the issue and I could not agree more with his thesis.
Those who defect are doing so to seek greener pastures. In the process, some of them have bagged Federal appointments from the APC led federal Government, which was not the case before. If they didn’t defect, Akwa Ibom for instance wouldn’t have all those plum jobs come the way of their illustrious sons.
Ultimately, it is good for all birds to fly as the sky is wide enough for each to find its altitude.The one that says the other shouldn’t fly should have its wings broken an igbo adage says.

Folks, live and let live. That’s what I say to both APC and PDP. Let the defections continue, what goes up, must surely come down.
In his book Arrow of God, Professor Chinua Achebe(peace on his ashes) told us of the scheme of Ezeulu, the embattled Priest of Ulu to his son, Oduche, when faced with the threat of the whiteman’s religion. Hear Ezeulu,
“‘The world is changing,’ he had told him. ‘I do not like it. But I am like the bird eneke-nti-oba. When his friends asked him why he was always on the wing he replied: “Men of today have learnt to shoot without missing and so I have learnt to fly without perching.” I want one of my sons to join these people and be my eye there.

If there is nothing in it you will come back . But if there is something there you will bring home my share.
The world is like a Mask dancing. If you want to see it well you do not stand in one place. My spirit tells me that those who do not befriend the white man today will be saying had we known tomorrow.”
Folks, that is the philosophy of defection. Those going to APC today, do so because the APC is like the whiteman who must be befriended to avoid regret tomorrow. Just that, if in the end, nothing comes out of it as ‘My share’, they will find their way back to wherever their belly directs.
(this piece was first published in July 15, 2016)

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